This weekend, we have an 11-fight card in Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some adequate contests for us to win a lot of money from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they have a Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that qualify. I will try to receive my 3rd seat this week to maximum it if I could. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those overly hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at the $30k prize, and then I will probably take a few shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a fantastic quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a few plays I like this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me personally, this is an easy pile in cash week. I believe we easily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. It also guarantees us the winner. As I have mentioned several times previously, we do not want 6 wins in money games, therefore play with those kind of games all you’ve got to do is beat half the field. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to money in most cash games. Even if you have a strong lean with this fight I recommend stacking.
GPP drama of the week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik has the highest ITD line on the card in -140 and he could hit 100+ DK points from obtaining that in round 1. The worry here will be him on his back in around 1 and scoring zero points during that and then going out and getting a KO in round 2. Or no KO in any way. Both of these would take him away the perfect lineup so we need this struggle to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that’s very possible and he will be a heart GPP play of mine this week. He is not the best money game play however because he can be put on his back and be stuck there and possibly even lose the fight that way. I’m OK with him cash, but I won’t be making a priority like I will being overweight in GPPs.
Play of the week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This gambling line is about pickem’ having a small lean towards Dos Santos. However, Ewell is your favorite on DraftKings and is $400 greater than ADS. Ewell is likewise the striker so for him to score tremendously he’s going to want a finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength though. Ewell has difficulty staying off his spine and when ADS can place him he could submit him. He could rack up numerous takedowns for a high decision rating. I enjoy the value we’re getting on him $7.9k and I like he should be seeking to grapple in this particular fight. That is why I needed to select him as my puppy of the week.
Fade of this week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There are no real easy fades this week. I really do have a full fade on Kondo though because she seems to be purely a striker and I believe Ashely Yoder’s best path to success is by way of grappling. If Kondo isn’t in a striking game for 15-minutes I really don’t see the way she scores tremendously unless she receives a finish. I don’t believe she’s KO power, therefore I believe it’s purely the significant strikes and the triumph bonus which we’d be relying here. I’d rather take a fighter with more of a opportunity to complete or who is more inclined to grapple. That is exactly why Kondo is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link as well. I’m 81-51 to get +251.89un (+$25,189) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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